ING DERIVATIVES CLEARING
209 South LaSalle, Chicago, Illinois
(October 16, 1997) SOYBEANS: As we sit on top of the $7.00 area in November beans, we can only wonder what would happen if Brazil has a drought courtesy of El Nino come January. Part of the strength obviously demand: one week near- record bean sales and the next, near-record meal sales. Fantastic and front loaded at cheap prices (versus now). But there is no El Nino bean trouble yet in South America (refer last letter Between El Nino's) and prices are a buck higher than when we started. Having been (and still are) demand bulls for months ahead of time, we're gratified, but...will we maintain 7.00 November beans basis demand? Not sure. We have a record crop and there's no trouble yet with overseas weather. We have held to the idea of an El Nino premium needed but the funds may have gotten the bulls ahead of themselves for a month or two. We won't fight a market, especially beans. For now, all we can say is that $7.00 November beans, we turned from bullish to neutral looking for new move.
Commodity Consultant
Added to the WWW 10-17-97
Last updated on 10-18-97
Hosted by:
One Crossroads Place
610 West Maple Ave, Suite WWW
Independence, MO 64050
(816) 252-4080
sysop@kcmo.com