USDA U.S. SUPPLY/DEMAND PROJECTIONS
1996/97 1997/98 1997/98 Oct 10 Sep 12 Oct 10"Corn"
Carry In 426 941 884 Production 9,293 9,268 9,312 Imports 13 10 10 Total Supply 9,732 10,219 10,206 Feed 5,368 5,550 5,625 Crush/Mill 1,660 1,750 1,745 Seed/Other 30 30 30 Exports 1,790 2,025 2,025 Total Use 8,848 9,355 9,425 End Carryout 884 864 781 Average Price $2.70 $2.65 $2.75 (in million bushels)
"Soybeans"
Carry In 183 115 132 Production 2,383 2,746 2,722 Imports 10 5 5 Total Supply 2,576 2,866 2,859 Feed Crush/Mill 1,436 1,495 1,495 Seed/Other 126 135 134 Exports 882 950 960 Total Use 2,444 2,580 2,589 End Carryout 132 286 270 Average Price $7.38 $6.15 $6.30 (in million bushels)
"Wheat"
Carry In 376 444 444 Production 2,282 2,507 2,527 Imports 92 95 94 Total Supply 2,750 3,046 3,065 Feed 310 275 325 Crush/Mill 892 900 900 Seed/Other 103 100 100 Exports 1,001 1,100 1,075 Total Use 2,306 2,375 2,400 End Carryout 444 671 665 Average Price $4.30 $3.45 $3.40 (in million bushels)
USDA boosted U.S. corn demand while trimming supply, due to lower September 1 stocks. This is a very tight corn carryout, but one that does support growing demand. The soybean carryout dropped 16 million bushels, but many would argue that USDA could have boosted U.S. exports more than they did–just 10 million bushels. Wheat's the bearish one with USDA raising feed use by 50 million bushels, but dropping the carryout just 6 million due to higher production and lower exports.
October 10, 1997 DTN Grains
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Last updated on 10-11-97
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