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ADVANCE REPORT ON

DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURERS'

SHIPMENTS AND ORDERS

September 1997 (All figures in text below

are in seasonally adjusted current dollars)

New Orders

New orders for manufactured durable goods in September decreased $1.1 billion or 0.6 percent to $185.7 billion, the Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census reported today. This follows a 2.8 percent August increase and is the first decline since May. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent, the fourth consecutive monthly increase. Year to date, new orders are 6.5 percent above the same period a year ago.

Electronic and other electrical equipment, down three of the last four months, had the largest decrease, $2.6 billion or 7.7 percent to $31.5 billion, due to electronic components. This follows a 29.4 percent August increase. Transportation equipment, down two of the last three months, decreased $1.4 billion or 3.3 percent to $42.0 billion, due to declines in aircraft and parts and motor vehicles and parts. This follows a 4.0 percent August increase. Primary metals increased $0.7 billion or 4.3 percent to $16.6 billion, following a 2.0 percent August decrease. This is the third increase in the last four months and the seventh this year. Industrial machinery and equipment, up three of the last four months, increased $0.5 billion or 1.5 percent to $35.1 billion. This follows a 1.4 percent August decrease.

Shipments

Shipments of durable goods in September, up three of the last four months, increased $3.8 billion or 2.1 percent to $185.2 billion, following a 1.3 percent August decrease. Year to date, shipments are 7.6 percent above the same period a year ago.

Industrial machinery and equipment, up three of the last four months, had the largest increase, $0.9 billion or 2.7 percent to $35.0 billion. This follows a 2.6 percent August decrease. Electronic and other electrical equipment, up four of the last five months, increased $0.9 billion or 2.9 percent to $31.1 billion. This follows a 2.9 percent August increase. Transportation equipment increased $0.4 billion or 0.9 percent to $43.2 billion, as increases in aircraft and parts and railroad equipment more than offset a decline in motor vehicles and parts. This follows a 2.7 percent August decrease and is the third increase in the last four months. Primary metals, up three of the last four months, increased $0.1 billion or 0.9 percent to $15.5 billion, following a 1.1 percent August decline. Instruments and related products, up three of the last four months, also increased.

Unfilled Orders

Unfilled orders for durable goods in September increased $0.5 billion or 0.1 percent to $501.8 billion. This follows a 1.1 percent August increase and is the fourth increase in the last five months.

Primary metals, up for the ninth consecutive month, had the largest increase, $1.1 billion or 3.4 percent to $33.4 billion, following a 1.7 percent August increase. Electronic and other electrical equipment, up four of the last five months, increased $0.4 billion or 0.7 percent to $55.7 billion. This follows a 7.6 percent August increase. Industrial machinery and equipment, up for the third consecutive month, increased $0.2 billion or 0.3 percent to $73.7 billion, following a 0.8 percent August increase. Transportation equipment decreased $1.2 billion or 0.5 percent to $249.1 billion, due to aircraft and parts. This follows a 0.3 percent August increase and is the second decrease in the last three months. Instruments and related products declined for the second consecutive month.

Capital Goods Industries

Defense–New orders in September, down four of the last five months, decreased $0.4 billion or 7.9 percent to $5.2 billion, following a 4.9 percent August decrease. Shipments, also down four of the last five months, decreased 0.5 percent to $6.1 billion, following a 3.6 percent August decrease. Unfilled orders, down for the ninth consecutive month, decreased $0.8 billion or 0.8 percent to $106.4 billion, following a 0.4 percent August decrease.

Nondefense–New orders in September, up for the fifth consecutive month, increased $0.7 billion or 1.5 percent to $48.6 billion, following a 1.0 percent August increase. Shipments, up three of the last four months, increased $1.7 billion or 3.6 percent to $48.6 billion. This follows a 2.4 percent August decrease. Unfilled orders, up three of the last four months, increased $0.1 billion to $252.6 billion, following a 0.4 percent August increase. Excluding aircraft and parts, new orders increased $2.4 billion or 6.1 percent to $42.4 billion, the third increase in the last four months; shipments increased $1.3 billion or 3.3 percent to $41.3 billion, the seventh increase in the last eight months; and unfilled orders increased $1.2 billion or 1.2 percent to $100.3 billion, the third consecutive monthly increase.

Revised August Data

Revised seasonally adjusted August figures for all manufacturing industries are: shipments, $330.8 billion (revised from $330.4 billion); new orders, $335.9 billion (revised from $335.5 billion); unfilled orders, $527.3 billion (revised from $527.2 billion); and total inventories, $449.0 billion (revised from $448.5 billion).

Seasonally Adjusted

(millions of dollars)


 			Sep-X 		Aug-R 		Jul 
Shipments, total	185,250		181,429		183,827
ex. defense		179,168		175,314		177,481
New Orders, total	185,733		186,808		181,679
ex. defense		180,494		181,122		175,702
Unfilled Orders, total	501,825		501,342		495,963
ex. defense		395,440		394,114		388,306
Capital Goods, 
	new orders	 53,874		 53,586		 53,389
nondefense		 48,635		 47,900		 47,412
excl. aircraft & 
	parts		 42,446		 40,021		 42,136
defense			  5,239		  5,686		  5,977

Seasonally Adjusted Percent Change


			Aug- 		Jul- 		Jun-
			Sep-X		Aug-R 		Jul 
Shipments, total	 +2.1%		—1.3%		+1.7%
ex. defense		 +2.2%		—1.2%		+2.0%
New Orders, total	 —0.6%		+2.8%		+0.1%
ex. defense		 —0.3%		+3.1%		+0.1%
Unfilled Orders, total	 +0.1%		+1.1%		—0.4%
ex. defense		 +0.3%		+1.5%		—0.5%
Capital Goods, new orders+0.5%		+0.4%		—0.2%
nondefense		 +1.5%		+1.0%		+0.4%
excl. aircraft & 
	parts		 +6.1%		—5.0%		+6.6%
defense			 —7.9%		—4.9%		—4.7%

X–Based on advance sales.

R–Revised.

October 29, 1997U.S. Department of Commerce

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