USDA U.S. SUPPLY/DEMAND PROJECTIONS
1996/97 1997/98 1997/98 Nov 11 Oct 10 Nov 10
"Corn"
(in million bushels)
Carry In 426 884 884 Production 9,293 9,312 9,359 Imports 13 10 10 Total Supply 9,732 10,206 10,253 Feed 5,368 5,625 5,625 Crush/Mill 1,660 1,745 1,745 Seed/Other 30 30 30 Exports 1,790 2,025 1,925 Total Use 8,848 9,425 9,325 End Carryout 884 781 928 Average Price $2.70 $2.75 $2.65
"Soybeans"
(in million bushels)
Carry In 183 132 132 Production 2,383 2,722 2,736 Imports 10 5 4 Total Supply 2,576 2,859 2,872 Feed Crush/Mill 1,436 1,495 1,500 Seed/Other 126 134 137 Exports 882 960 980 Total Use 2,444 2,589 2,617 End Carryout 132 270 255 Average Price $7.38 $6.30 $6.40
"Wheat"
(in million bushels)
Carry In 376 444 444 Production 2,282 2,527 2,527 Imports 92 94 94 Total Supply 2,750 3,065 3,065 Feed3 103 253 25 Crush/Mill 892 900 910 Seed/Other 103 100 100 Exports 1,001 1,075 1,075 Total Use 2,306 2,400 2,410 End Carryout 444 665 655 Average Price $4.30 $3.40 $3.55
USDA reacted as expected. Their cut in corn exports was more severe than most thought they'd do this month, but seems well justified. Increased bean exports were well expected and many believe exports could go higher. Wheat numbers were tweaked by increased domestic food use. No major surprises here.
November 10, 1997 DTN Grains
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