FISHBACK MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH
P.O. Box 23798,
Lexington, Kentucky
(June 11, 1997) SEPTEMBER BOND FUTURES: Our bond market model
remains bullish. But there has been a modest deterioration. The yield curve
is very positively sloped, which is quite bullish. Also, interest rate
trends the past quarter are bullish. Interest sensitive stocks are pushing
higher, especially the brokerage firms. Even gold is getting into the act,
falling sharply and signaling that inflation is not much of a problem.
The one area that has deteriorated is sentiment. The level of bullishness
has started to get a little frothy. It isn't bearish, by any stretch. But
it is certainly no longer bullish from a contrarian's point of view. We'll
be keeping a close eye on this situation, alerting you of a change in our
market composite if the need arises. For now, however, our bond market
composite is still bullish.
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