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USDA U.S.
SUPPLY/DEMAND PROJECTIONSJanuary 11, 2001
'99/'00 Est
'00/01 Projections
December'00/01 Projections
JanuaryCorn (in million bushels)
Beginning Stocks 1,787
1,715 1,718 Production 9,431 10,054 9,968 Imports 15 10 10 Total Supply 11,232 11,779 11,696 Feed and Residual 5,664 5,850 5,775 Food/Seed/Ind. 1,913 1,975 1,965 Domestic Total 7,578
7,825
7,740
Exports 1,937 2,200 2,150 Total Use 9,515 10,025 9,890 Ending Stocks Total 1,718 1,754 1,806 CCC Inventory 14
15
15
Free Stocks 1,704
1,739
1,791
Outstanding Loans 392
400
400
Average Farm Price ($/bu)-X $1.82 $1.65-2.05 $1.65-2.05 X--Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. Soybeans (in million bushels)
Beginning Stocks 348 288 290 Production 2,654 2,777 2,770 Imports 4 3 3 Total Supply 3,006 3,068 3,063 Crushings 1,579 1,605 1,600 Exports 973 975 975 Seed/Other 90 90 90 Residual 74 77 78 Total Use 2,716 2,747 2,743 Ending Stocks 290 320 320 Average Farm Price ($/bu)-X $4.63 $4.50-5.10 $4.50-5.00 Soybean Oil (in million pounds)
Beginning Stocks 1,520 1,995 1,995 Production 17,824 18,175 18,065 Imports 83 80 80 Total Supply 19,427 20,250 20,140 Domestic 16,055 16,450 16,450 Exports 1,376 1,550 1,400 Total Use 17,432 18,000 17,850 Ending Stocks 1,995 2,250 2,290 Average Farm Price (cents/bu)-X $15.60 $13.50-16.00 $13.25-15.25 Soybean Meal (in thousand short tons)
Beginning Stocks 330 293 293 Production 37,623 38,217 38,317 Imports 49 65 65 Total Supply 38,003 38,575 38,675 Domestic 30,378 31,000 31,200 Exports 7,331 7,300 7,200 Total Use 37,710 38,300 38,400 Ending Stocks 293 275 275 Average Farm Price ($/ST)-X $167.70 $170.00-195.00 $170.00-195.00 X--Soybeans: Marketing Year weighted average price received by farmers.
Oil: Simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur
Meal: Simple average of 48 percent, Decatur.--Wheat-- (in million bushels)
Beginning Stocks 946 950 950 Production 2,299 2,223 2,223 Imports 95 95 95 Total Supply 3,339 3,268 3,268 Food 925 945 945 Feed and Residual 284 250 300 Domestic Total 1,300 1,281 1,329 Exports 1,090 1,125 1,125 Total Use 2,390 2,406 2,454 Ending Stocks 950 862 814 CCC Inventory 104
120
105
Free Stocks 846
742
709
Average Farm Price ($/bu)-X $2.48 $2.50-2.70 $2.55-2.75 X--Marketing -year weighted average price received by farmers
January 11, 2001 World Agricultural Outlook Board, USDA
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