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CONSENSUS
HOGS AND PIGS
U.S. Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent
(December 28, 2000) U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2000, was 59.8 million head. This was 1 percent above December 1999, but slightly below September 1, 2000.
Breeding inventory, at 6.28 million head, was up 1 percent from December 1, 1999, and up slightly from September 1, 2000. Market hog inventory, at 53.6 million head, was 1 percent above last year, but slightly below last quarter.
The September-November 2000 U.S. pig crop, at 25.5 million head, was 2 percent more than 1999, but 1 percent less than 1998. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.88 million head, 1 percent above last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 46 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter was 8.88 pigs saved per litter for the September-November period, compared to 8.78 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.
U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.91 million sows farrow during the December 2000-February 2001 quarter, 4 percent above the actual farrowings during the same period in 2000, and 1 percent above 1999. Intended farrowings for March-May 2001, at 2.92 million sows, are 1 percent above the same period in 2000 but down 2 percent from 1999.
The number of hog operations with hogs totaled 85,760 during 2000, down 13 percent from last year and 25 percent below 1998. Places with 2,000 or more hogs on hand accounted for 8 percent of the operations and 72 percent of the inventory. This is the fifth time operations with inventories over 2,000 head have controlled over 50 percent of the total inventory. The number of operations with over 5,000 head of inventory at, 2,095, accounted for 50.5 percent of the total inventory, up from 46.5 percent a year ago. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by these over 5,000 head operations, but raised by contractees, accounted for 30 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, down from 32 percent last year.
Revisions
All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 1999 through September 2000 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, import, and export data in U.S. level balance sheets. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of less than one half percent were made to the inventory level for December 1, 1999; March 1, 2000; June 1, 2000; and September 1, 2000. Small adjustments of less than one half percent were also made to the March-May 1999, June-August 1999, September-November 1999, and June-August 2000 pig crops, and less than one percent to the March-May 2000 pig crop.
Hogs And Pigs
Inventory Number By Class, Weight Group, And Quarter
United States, 1998-00
(May not add due to rounding.)December 1 Inventory 1998
1999
2000
2000 as %
of 1999All Hogs & Pigs 60,163
60,191
57,782
96
Kept For Breeding 6,942
6,527
6,190
95
Market 53,220
53,633
51,593
96
For Market By Weight 1998
1999
2000
2000 as %
of 1999Under 60 pounds 20,192
19,978
19,217
96
60-119 pounds 12,791
12,899
12,409
96
120-179 pounds 10,774
10,995
10,552
96
180 pounds + 9,464
9,792
9,414
96
Farrowings: Number Of Sows,
United States, 1998-2000
(May not add due to rounding)Sow Farrowings 1998
1999
2000
2000 as %
of 19982000 as %
of 1999Dec-Feb2,3 2,929
2,891
2,798
96
97
Mar-May3 3,086
2,986
2,890
94
97
Dec-May2,3 6,014
5,877
5,688
95
97
Jun-Aug 3,054
2,920
2,899
95
99
Sep-Nov 2,993
2,844
2,875
96
101
Jun-Nov 6,047
5,764
5,774
95
100
2December preceding year.
3 Intentions for 2001
Farrowings: Pig Crop, Pigs Per Litter
United States, 1998-2000
(May not add due to rounding)Pig Crop (1000 head) 1998
1999
2000
2000 as %
of 1999Dec-Feb2 25,480
25,247
24,522
97
Mar-May 26,989
26,272
25,610
97
Dec-May2 52,469
51,519
50,132
97
Jun-Aug 26,634
25,862
25,686
99
Sep-Nov 25,902
24,973
25,536
102
Jun-Nov5 52,535
50,835
51.222
101
Pigs per Litter Dec-Feb2 8.70
8.73
8.76
100
Mar-May 8.75
8.80
8.86
101
Dec-May2 8.72
8.77
8.81
101
Jun-Aug 8.72
8.86
8.86
100
Sep-Nov 8.66
8.78
8.88
101
Jun-Nov 8.69
8.82
8.87
101
2December preceding year. 3Intentions for 2001.
Hogs And Pigs: Breeding, Market, And Total Inventory
By State And United States, December 1, 1999-00
Thousand Head
(May not add due to rounding)--
Breeding
Market
Total
State
1999
2000
1999
2000
1999
2000
2000 As %
of 1999AL
15
15
160
150
175
165
94
AK
0.3
0.2
1.1
0.6
1.4
0.8
57
AZ
19
2
121
7
140
9
6
AR
110
110
600
575
710
685
96
CA
25
20
165
130
190
150
79
CO
210
190
700
650
910
840
92
CT
0.9
0.9
2.6
3.1
3.5
4.0
114
DE
5
5
22
24
27
29
107
FL
7
8
33
32
40
40
100
GA
60
55
420
325
480
380
79
HI
5
5
23
21
28
26
93
ID
4
4
18
20
22
24
109
IL
420
450
3,630
3,750
4,050
4,200
104
IN
370
380
2,880
3,020
3,250
3,400
105
IA
1,160
1,120
14,240
14,280
15,400
15,400
100
KS
150
160
1,310
1,410
1,460
1,570
108
KY
55
50
405
380
460
430
93
LA
4
3
25
26
29
29
100
ME
1.5
1.5
5.5
5.0
7.0
6.5
93
MD
6
7
49
51
55
58
105
MA
3.0
3.0
17.0
17.0
20.0
20.0
100
MI
120
110
860
840
980
950
97
MN
560
600
4,940
5,200
5,500
5,800
105
MS
26
28
254
287
280
315
113
MO
410
380
2,740
2,520
3,150
2,900
92
MT
17
18
138
137
155
155
100
NE
380
360
2,620
2,740
3,000
3,100
103
NV
1.0
1.0
6.5
6.5
7.5
7.5
100
NH
0.8
0.9
2.7
3.1
3.5
4.0
114
NJ
2.0
2.0
13.0
12.0
15.0
14.0
93
NM
1.2
0.6
4.8
2.4
6.0
3.0
50
NY
6
10
34
70
40
80
200
NC
1,000
1,000
8,500
8,400
9,500
9,400
99
ND
25
27
165
158
190
185
97
OH
170
170
1,310
1,340
1,480
1,510
102
OK
310
340
1,950
2,000
2,260
2,340
104
OR
5
6
25
26
30
32
107
PA
120
120
930
920
1,050
1,040
99
RI
0.5
0.7
2.0
2.3
2.5
3.0
120
SC
25
25
220
265
245
290
118
SD
120
140
1,140
1,220
1,260
1,360
108
TN
30
35
220
195
250
230
92
TX
80
85
790
835
870
920
106
UT
70
80
450
470
520
550
106
VT
0.6
0.7
2.4
2.3
3.0
3.0
100
VA
34
35
336
390
370
425
115
WA
4
4
26
23
30
27
90
WV
2
2
10
8
12
10
83
WI
65
75
505
545
570
620
109
WY
18
29
87
79
105
108
103
US
6,234
6,275
53,109
53,573
59,342
59,848
101
December 28, 2000 NASS, USDA
CONSENSUS, INC. AND INVESTORS
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